São Caetano vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAU
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAO
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 0
SAO
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 1
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CEA
3 - 1
FOR
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
CEA
3 - 0
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 3
CEA
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |