Cup Paulista Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 1-3
São Caetano vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
50.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
SAO
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
OES
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
USA
1 - 3
SAO
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
63%
23%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
SAO
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RBB
1 - 2
CAP
27%
22%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
PRI
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
CAP
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |