São Caetano vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAO
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
NOV
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 9
PEL
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
SAO
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
JEC
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
TUB
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
JEC
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 0
PEL
38%
26%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
6 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |