São Caetano vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
FFL
2 - 0
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLA
55%
24%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
PAY
3 - 2
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 1
FOR
71%
20%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GOI
0 - 0
SAO
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
FOR
2 - 0
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 3
FLU
23%
23%
53%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ATM
0 - 1
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 1
BRA
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |