Cup Paulista Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
São Caetano vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAO
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 1
BRA
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 0
BRA
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |