São Caetano vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
VOT
0 - 3
SAO
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIO
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 0
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
MIR
14%
19%
67%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 3
BAR
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
POR
23%
22%
55%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ATI
1 - 0
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |