São Caetano vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
VOT
0 - 3
SAO
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
SAO
4 - 3
SAO
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
POR
1 - 3
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATI
51%
25%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
TAU
2 - 1
SAO
23%
25%
53%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
AUD
0 - 2
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
RIO
3 - 1
AUD
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ATI
0 - 0
AUD
37%
25%
39%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AUD
0 - 0
POR
53%
24%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
VOT
1 - 2
AUD
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |