São Caetano vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SAO
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
VAS
1 - 2
SAO
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 1
SCI
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
SAO
2 - 0
POR
47%
23%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
SCI
1 - 0
ATM
42%
25%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ATM
1 - 0
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FLA
1 - 2
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ATM
0 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
FLU
3 - 2
ATM
44%
24%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |