Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-2
São Caetano vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
38%
28%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 2
IND
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAO
32%
28%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
VIT
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAU
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 1
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
TIG
2 - 1
AME
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
AME
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
AME
1 - 1
QRO
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |