São Caetano vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SAO
5 - 1
PAU
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ITU
2 - 3
SAO
19%
25%
56%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 1
MAR
87%
10%
4%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
AME
2 - 0
SNL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
ATS
3 - 1
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
IRA
2 - 1
AME
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
STR
0 - 0
AME
29%
25%
45%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |