Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 3-1
São Caetano vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2002 |
SAO
2 - 1
PEÑ
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
SAO
1 - 1
UCO
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
SAO
0 - 1
CCP
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 3
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2002 |
AME
0 - 2
NEC
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 2
AME
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
AME
2 - 1
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
PUM
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |