São Caetano vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
BAH
51%
25%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 2
SAO
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 1
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
ARN
3 - 1
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
ARN
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 2
ATL
37%
26%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
ARN
3 - 0
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 1
ARN
34%
24%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |