São Caetano vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAB
0 - 2
SAO
7%
15%
78%
|
65 | 12 | 53 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TAU
0 - 0
SAO
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 2
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 2
TAU
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 1
CAB
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 11 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
AGU
27%
23%
51%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |