São Caetano vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ASA
0 - 0
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 3
SAO
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 3
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 0
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 0
ABC
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 1
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
CRI
3 - 1
ABC
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ABC
3 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |