São Caetano vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 3
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITU
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
PPE
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
JUV
60%
23%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 0
POR
31%
29%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CIA
0 - 0
POR
27%
30%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
MAD
58%
24%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
POR
32%
30%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |