São Caetano vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAO
75%
15%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 2
VIT
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
JUV
0 - 3
SAO
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
COR
3 - 1
POR
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2001 |
POR
3 - 0
SCI
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
POR
1 - 0
BOT
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
POR
1 - 2
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |