São Bernardo FC vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIO
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
TAU
3 - 1
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
SER
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
OES
1 - 1
SAO
52%
25%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
XVD
1 - 0
AUD
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 2
XVD
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
XVD
2 - 0
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
XVD
1 - 0
BAT
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VOT
1 - 2
XVD
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |