São Bernardo FC vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
2 - 2
SAO
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAO
22%
26%
53%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 1
MOG
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
XVD
0 - 2
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
XVD
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
4 - 1
INT
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
XVD
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |