São Bernardo FC vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAO
29%
23%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 3
SAN
10%
18%
72%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
XVD
3 - 3
PAL
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
XVD
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MOG
4 - 2
XVD
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 1
PAU
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
XVD
36%
25%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |