Cup Paulista Semi-finals
Global 3-1
São Bernardo FC vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
23%
26%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
BER
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
SAO
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
PRI
64%
23%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 3
SAO
26%
26%
47%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
23%
26%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
XVD
1 - 1
SAO
62%
22%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
XVD
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 0
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ATI
4 - 0
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |