São Bernardo FC vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
48.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 3
SAN
10%
18%
72%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 2
UNI
62%
20%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
LIN
64%
20%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
OES
1 - 1
SAO
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 2
BOA
66%
22%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |