São Bernardo FC vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
3 - 1
AGU
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 2
SER
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 0
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 3
PEN
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
ATI
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 1
XVD
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |