São Bernardo FC vs Palmeiras II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
59%
21%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
0 - 0
NOR
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 1
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
SEP
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 3
RBB
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
SEP
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |