Paulista A2 Semi-finals
Global 3-5
São Bernardo FC vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
OES
2 - 1
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
XVD
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIO
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
TAU
3 - 1
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
OES
2 - 1
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 2
OES
16%
23%
60%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
OES
1 - 0
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BAT
0 - 1
OES
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
OES
1 - 3
VOT
63%
22%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |