São Bernardo FC vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 4
SAO
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TAU
1 - 1
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 1
SER
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
JUV
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
INT
2 - 3
NAC
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |