São Bernardo FC vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
FLA
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 3
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 2
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 3
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
LIN
3 - 1
MAR
19%
21%
60%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 3
MAR
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |