São Bernardo FC vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 2
MAR
25%
22%
52%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
FLA
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 3
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 2
GUA
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 4
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
AME
78%
15%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |