São Bernardo FC vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
5º
5º
8
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 10 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 0
SAO
42%
30%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
OPE
40%
30%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAO
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
YPI
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
AFC
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
ECS
7%
13%
80%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
OPE
2 - 0
ECS
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
ISM
4 - 3
ECS
7%
16%
76%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ECS
1 - 2
BRU
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POA
1 - 2
ECS
25%
28%
48%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |