Cup Paulista Final
Global 2-2
São Bernardo FC vs Botafogo SP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BSP
2 - 0
SAO
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
23%
26%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
BER
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
SAO
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BSP
2 - 0
SAO
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
BSP
3 - 1
POR
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
BSP
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
NOR
30%
24%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 2
BSP
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |