São Bernardo FC vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
21%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
8º
5º
1
6º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 11 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
5 | 9 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 8 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
5 | 8 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 8 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 7 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 5 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
20.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 2
REM
53%
27%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
3 - 1
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLO
72%
21%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
CON
2 - 0
SAO
23%
29%
49%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ECS
3 - 0
SAO
24%
29%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
VOL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
REM
2 - 1
BOT
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
FER
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 2
BOT
51%
28%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
NAU
2 - 0
BOT
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |