São Bernardo FC vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 2
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAO
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
AUD
2 - 2
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
LIN
50%
23%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 3
LIN
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LIN
2 - 0
AUD
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AUD
0 - 2
LIN
53%
22%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
AUD
2 - 2
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 3
AUD
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 2
AUD
24%
23%
52%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |