São Bernardo FC vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 1
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
VOT
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
ECS
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 0
AGU
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 1
BAT
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 1
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 0
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FER
0 - 0
AGU
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |