São Bento vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
TAU
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAT
2 - 1
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 2
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
BAR
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
IND
3 - 1
SAO
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
FRA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
RIO
17%
20%
63%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
SER
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
OSV
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 2
SER
29%
24%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |