Paulista A2 Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 3-2
São Bento vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
VOL
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
TAU
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
TOM
1 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
TAU
0 - 0
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LON
1 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
JUV
51%
25%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAO
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
TAU
0 - 1
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
SAO
3 - 2
XVD
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
SAO
4 - 3
SAO
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |