São Bento vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
9%
21%
71%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
CSA
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 0
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITA
66%
23%
11%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
SAO
21%
27%
52%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
COT
1 - 0
PAR
67%
20%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
CIA
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAR
5 - 0
FOZ
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
AVA
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 2
TUP
57%
26%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |