São Bento vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 2
XVD
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
SAO
66%
22%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 0
PRI
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 1
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
MON
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FER
16%
23%
61%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |