São Bento vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
SAO
37%
24%
40%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
INT
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
BAR
65%
20%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
SAO
37%
24%
40%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
SER
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
INT
0 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 1
ITA
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
UNI
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |