São Bento vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SER
3 - 0
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 1
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CAT
3 - 1
SAO
35%
24%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
5 - 0
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
VFC
1 - 1
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AMF
2 - 1
GUA
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
AMF
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 1
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |