São Bento vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
31.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
OPE
2 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 2
COT
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAO
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
SAO
3 - 1
VIL
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 3
BRA
26%
29%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
CUI
2 - 1
GUA
48%
27%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 2
BOT
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRB
45%
28%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
COT
1 - 0
GUA
56%
26%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 0
ATL
25%
28%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |