São Bento vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RBB
2 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
XVD
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SEP
0 - 2
SAO
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 3
AUD
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
URO
4 - 4
GUA
29%
25%
47%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
RBB
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 1
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |