São Bento vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 0
SAO
50%
26%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
MIR
17%
24%
60%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 3
BRA
8%
18%
74%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
COM
0 - 3
MIR
12%
21%
67%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
COM
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
PPE
3 - 0
COM
78%
16%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
PPE
14%
22%
65%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |