São Bento vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 2
SAO
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 3
CAT
57%
22%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAO
33%
23%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
CAT
0 - 0
ATL
36%
24%
41%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
VFC
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 3
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 3
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 4
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |