São Bento vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SER
3 - 0
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 1
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CAT
3 - 1
SAO
35%
24%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 4
FLA
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
COM
1 - 3
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FER
0 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
AME
3 - 1
ATL
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 0
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
RIO
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LIN
3 - 0
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |