São Benedito vs Maracanã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Benedito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
FER
7 - 2
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
3 - 2
SAO
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRA
29%
25%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
ICA
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +3 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FER
5 - 0
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |