São Benedito vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Benedito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TIR
4 - 2
SAO
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
HOR
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
BOV
2 - 3
SAO
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
UNI
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
ICA
6 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 1
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
ICA
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
OES
2 - 0
ICA
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 0
OES
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |