São Benedito vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Benedito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 3
FER
28%
25%
48%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 3
ICA
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TIR
4 - 2
SAO
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
HOR
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 2
GUA
37%
24%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 3
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |