Sanvicenteño vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanvicenteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
SNV
55%
25%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SNV
4 - 3
PLA
34%
25%
42%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
SNV
51%
26%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
SNV
24%
26%
50%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SNV
3 - 2
ASJ
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
ASJ
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CDZ
4 - 3
VIL
64%
21%
16%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
MER
31%
26%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
VIL
45%
25%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
DPC
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |