Sanvicenteño vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
55.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanvicenteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 1
SNV
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 2
SNV
34%
26%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
SNV
1 - 0
MOR
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TRU
0 - 1
SNV
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SNV
5 - 0
AMA
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
CDZ
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
UPL
1 - 0
MAD
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 0
UPL
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 1
ASJ
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 1
MAD
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |