Sanvicenteño vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+106%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanvicenteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
SNV
70%
20%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SNV
1 - 2
DPC
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 2
SNV
69%
19%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 0
SNV
49%
25%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SNV
0 - 2
COR
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDZ
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDB
3 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
MOR
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
4 - 0
CAS
88%
10%
3%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |