Santutxu vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santutxu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
SES
2 - 0
SFC
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 0
DEU
41%
26%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SFC
0 - 0
BEA
41%
27%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BFC
1 - 2
SFC
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SFC
1 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
GER
0 - 3
DEU
66%
19%
14%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
GER
2 - 0
TOL
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
RSO
3 - 2
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SES
2 - 0
GER
31%
27%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 1
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |